Historical record — not a forecast

Provincetown

Provincetown, MA has had 20 storms pass within 75 km since 1851, the strongest being Edna (1954, Category 2 Hurricane).

MA20 storms since 18515 at hurricane strength or higher
Noir atlas

Location 01

Provincetown

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The historical record

Storm history

20 tropical storms and hurricanes have passed within 75 km of Provincetown since 1851, based on NOAA’s HURDAT2 best-track data (1851-2025). Atlantic storm counts before the mid-20th century undercount storms that stayed at sea; aircraft reconnaissance began in the 1940s and systematic satellite coverage in 1966. Storms that struck populated coastline are the most reliably recorded part of the record.

By storm category

Tropical Depression
6
Tropical Storm
9
Category 1 Hurricane
3
Category 2 Hurricane
2

By decade

1860s
1
1870s
2
1880s
1
1890s
1
1900s
2
1910s
1
1940s
1
1950s
2
1960s
2
2000s
3
2010s
2
2020s
2

Strongest & most recent

Strongest on record
Edna (1954, Category 2 Hurricane, 95 kt) passed within 18.6 km in 1954
Most recent
Henri (2021, Tropical Depression, 20 kt) passed within 50.3 km in 2021
Coordinates
42.05642, -70.17857
Basin
atlantic

Notable storms on record

  • Edna (1954) Category 2 Hurricane, 95 kt, passed within 18.6 km on 1954-09-11
  • Unnamed storm (1869) Category 2 Hurricane, 90 kt, passed within 43.7 km on 1869-10-04
  • Unnamed storm (1904) Category 1 Hurricane, 75 kt, passed within 11.8 km on 1904-09-15
  • Unnamed storm (1888) Category 1 Hurricane, 70 kt, passed within 55.8 km on 1888-09-26
  • Unnamed storm (1944) Category 1 Hurricane, 65 kt, passed within 68.1 km on 1944-09-15
  • Unnamed storm (1896) Tropical Storm, 55 kt, passed within 43.5 km on 1896-09-10
  • Esther (1961) Tropical Storm, 50 kt, passed within 39.7 km on 1961-09-26
  • Cindy (1959) Tropical Storm, 50 kt, passed within 58.6 km on 1959-07-11

Historical return intervals

These are plain historical averages — years of record divided by how many times a storm of that strength has passed within 75 km. They are not a probability or a forecast of a future storm; they describe how often storms of each strength have occurred in the past.

Tropical storm strength or greater
on average every 12.5 years, historically
Hurricane strength
on average every 35.0 years, historically
Major hurricane (Cat 3+)
none on record
How many hurricanes and storms have hit near Provincetown?

Since 1851, 20 tropical storms and hurricanes have passed within 75 km of Provincetown, MA, based on NOAA HURDAT2 best-track data.

What was the strongest storm to affect Provincetown?

Edna (1954, Category 2 Hurricane, 95 kt) passed within 18.6 km in 1954, reaching Category 2 Hurricane strength.

Is this a hurricane forecast for Provincetown?

No. This page presents only historical, already-occurred storm data. It contains no forecast, prediction, or safety or evacuation guidance. Return-interval figures above are historical averages, not a probability of a future storm. See our methodology.